Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink

Loisel, J.; Gallego-Sala, A.V.; Amesbury, M. J.; Magnan, G.; Anshari, G.; Beilman, D. W.; Benavides, J. C.; Blewett, J.; Camill, P.; Charman, D. J.; Chawchai, S.; Hedgpeth, A.; Kleinen, Thomas; Korhola, A.; Large, D.; Mansilla, C. A.; Müller, J.; van Bellen, S.; West, J. B.; Yu, Z.; Bubier, J. L.; Garneau, M.; Moore, T.; Sannel, A. B. K.; Page, S.; Väliranta, M.; Bechtold, M.; Brovkin, Victor; Cole, L. E. S.; Chanton, J. P.; Christensen, T. R.; Davies, M. A.; Vleeschouwer, F. De; Finkelstein, S. A.; Frolking, S.; Gałka, M.; Gandois, L.; Girkin, N.; Harris, L. I.; Heinemeyer, A.; Hoyt, A. M.; Jones, M. C.; Joos, F.; Juutinen, S.; Kaiser, K.; Lacourse, T.; Lamentowicz, M.; Larmola, T.; Leifeld, J.; Lohila, A.; Milner, A. M.; Minkkinen, K.; Moss, P.; Naafs, B. D. A.; Nichols, J.; O’Donnell, J.; Payne, R.; Philben, M.; Piilo, S.; Quillet, A.; Ratnayake, A. S.; Roland, T. P.; Sjögersten, S.; Sonnentag, O.; Swindles, G. T.; Swinnen, W.; Talbot, J.; Treat, C.; Valach, A. C.; Wu, J.

doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0

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Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink

Loisel, J., Gallego-Sala, A., Amesbury, M. J., Magnan, G., Anshari, G., Beilman, D. W., et al. (2020). Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink. Nature Climate Change, 11, 70-77. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0.

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Loisel, J., Author
Gallego-Sala, A.V., Author
Amesbury, M. J., Author
Magnan, G., Author
Anshari, G., Author
Beilman, D. W., Author
Benavides, J. C., Author
Blewett, J., Author
Camill, P., Author
Charman, D. J., Author
Chawchai, S., Author
Hedgpeth, A., Author
Kleinen, Thomas¹, Author
Korhola, A., Author
Large, D., Author
Mansilla, C. A., Author
Müller, J., Author
van Bellen, S., Author
West, J. B., Author
Yu, Z., Author
Bubier, J. L., AuthorGarneau, M., AuthorMoore, T., AuthorSannel, A. B. K., AuthorPage, S., AuthorVäliranta, M., AuthorBechtold, M., AuthorBrovkin, Victor¹, Author Cole, L. E. S., AuthorChanton, J. P., AuthorChristensen, T. R., AuthorDavies, M. A., AuthorVleeschouwer, F. De, AuthorFinkelstein, S. A., AuthorFrolking, S., AuthorGałka, M., AuthorGandois, L., AuthorGirkin, N., AuthorHarris, L. I., AuthorHeinemeyer, A., AuthorHoyt, A. M.², AuthorJones, M. C., AuthorJoos, F., AuthorJuutinen, S., AuthorKaiser, K., AuthorLacourse, T., AuthorLamentowicz, M., AuthorLarmola, T., AuthorLeifeld, J., AuthorLohila, A., AuthorMilner, A. M., AuthorMinkkinen, K., AuthorMoss, P., AuthorNaafs, B. D. A., AuthorNichols, J., AuthorO’Donnell, J., AuthorPayne, R., AuthorPhilben, M., AuthorPiilo, S., AuthorQuillet, A., AuthorRatnayake, A. S., AuthorRoland, T. P., AuthorSjögersten, S., AuthorSonnentag, O., AuthorSwindles, G. T., AuthorSwinnen, W., AuthorTalbot, J., AuthorTreat, C., AuthorValach, A. C., AuthorWu, J., Author more..

Affiliations:
1Climate-Biogeosphere Interaction, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913566
2Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, DE, ou_1497750

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Abstract: The carbon balance of peatlands is predicted to shift from a sink to a source this century. However, peatland ecosystems are still omitted from the main Earth system models that are used for future climate change projections, and they are not considered in integrated assessment models that are used in impact and mitigation studies. By using evidence synthesized from the literature and an expert elicitation, we define and quantify the leading drivers of change that have impacted peatland carbon stocks during the Holocene and predict their effect during this century and in the far future. We also identify uncertainties and knowledge gaps in the scientific community and provide insight towards better integration of peatlands into modelling frameworks. Given the importance of the contribution by peatlands to the global carbon cycle, this study shows that peatland science is a critical research area and that we still have a long way to go to fully understand the peatland–carbon–climate nexus.

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Language(s): eng - English

Dates: Submitted: 2019-11Accepted: 2020-10Published Online: 2020-12-07Date issued: 2020-12-07

Publication Status: Issued

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Rev. Type: Peer

Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0

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Title: Nature Climate Change

Source Genre: Journal

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Publ. Info: London : Nature Publishing Group

Pages: - Volume / Issue: 11 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 70 - 77 Identifier: ISSN: 1758-678x
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/1758-678x