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  "A 30% chance of rain tomorrow" : how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts?

Gigerenzer, G., Hertwig, R., Van den Broek, E., Fasolo, B., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2005). "A 30% chance of rain tomorrow": how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts? Risk Analysis, 25(3), 623-629.

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GG_30_Chance_2005.pdf (Publisher version), 136KB
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GG_30_Chance_2005.pdf
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2005 Society for Risk Analysis
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 Creators:
Gigerenzer, Gerd1, Author           
Hertwig, Ralph1, Author           
Van den Broek, Eva, Author
Fasolo, Barbara1, Author           
Katsikopoulos, Konstantinos V.1, Author           
Affiliations:
1Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society, ou_2074285              

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2005
 Publication Status: Issued
 Pages: -
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 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: eDoc: 237587
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Title: Risk Analysis
Source Genre: Journal
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 25 (3) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 623 - 629 Identifier: -