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  Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5

Giorgetta, M. A., Jungclaus, J. H., Reick, C. H., Legutke, S., Bader, J., Böttinger, M., Brovkin, V., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fieg, K., Glushak, K., Gayler, V., Haak, H., Hollweg, H.-D., Ilyina, T., Kinne, S., Kornblueh, L., Matei, D., Mauritsen, T., Mikolajewicz, U., Mueller, W. A., Notz, D., Pithan, F., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Roeckner, E., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Segschneider, J., Six, K., Stockhause, M., Timmreck, C., Wegner, J., Widmann, H., Wieners, K.-H., Claussen, M., Marotzke, J., & Stevens, B. (2013). Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 572-597. doi:10.1002/jame.20038.

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資料種別: 学術論文

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jame20038.pdf (出版社版), 19MB
ファイルのパーマリンク:
https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0014-9DB1-C
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jame20038.pdf
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公開
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application/pdf / [MD5]
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作成者

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 作成者:
Giorgetta, Marco A.1, 著者                 
Jungclaus, Johann H.2, 著者                 
Reick, Christian H.3, 著者           
Legutke, Stephanie4, 著者
Bader, Juergen5, 著者           
Böttinger, Michael4, 6, 著者           
Brovkin, Victor7, 8, 著者                 
Crueger, Traute1, 著者           
Esch, Monika1, 著者           
Fieg, Kerstin4, 著者
Glushak, Ksenia4, 著者
Gayler, Veronika7, 著者                 
Haak, Helmuth2, 著者           
Hollweg, Heinz-Dieter4, 著者
Ilyina, Tatiana9, 著者                 
Kinne, Stefan10, 著者           
Kornblueh, Luis2, 著者           
Matei, Daniela2, 著者                 
Mauritsen, Thorsten5, 著者           
Mikolajewicz, Uwe11, 著者           
Mueller, Wolfgang A.12, 著者           Notz, Dirk13, 著者           Pithan, Felix5, 14, 著者           Raddatz, Thomas3, 著者           Rast, Sebastian15, 著者           Redler, Rene2, 著者                 Roeckner, Erich1, 著者           Schmidt, Hauke15, 著者                 Schnur, Reiner3, 著者                 Segschneider, Joachim9, 著者           Six, Katharina9, 著者           Stockhause, Martina4, 著者Timmreck, Claudia15, 著者           Wegner, Jörg4, 著者Widmann, Heiner4, 著者Wieners, Karl-Hermann, 著者           Claussen, Martin16, 17, 著者                 Marotzke, Jochem2, 著者                 Stevens, Bjorn18, 著者                  全て表示
所属:
1Climate Modelling, The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913569              
2Director’s Research Group OES, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913553              
3Global Vegetation Modelling, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913562              
4Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, ou_persistent22              
5Climate Dynamics, The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913568              
6I 5 - Visualization, Integrated Activities, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_1863496              
7Climate-Biogeosphere Interaction, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913566              
8B 2 - Land Use and Land Cover Change, Research Area B: Climate Manifestations and Impacts, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_1863482              
9Ocean Biogeochemistry, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913556              
10Observations and Process Studies, The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913575              
11Ocean Physics, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913557              
12Decadal Climate Predictions - MiKlip, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_1479671              
13Max Planck Research Group The Sea Ice in the Earth System, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913554              
14IMPRS on Earth System Modelling, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_913547              
15Middle and Upper Atmosphere, The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913574              
16Director’s Research Group LES, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913564              
17A 2 - Climate Processes and Feedbacks, Research Area A: Climate Dynamics and Variability, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_1863497              
18Director’s Research Group AES, The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913570              

内容説明

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キーワード: climate; climate change; carbon cycle; CMIP5; MPI-ESM
 要旨: The new Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) is used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) in a series of climate change experiments for either idealized CO2-only forcing or forcings based on observations and the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. The paper gives an overview of the model configurations, experiments related forcings, and initialization procedures and presents results for the simulated changes in climate and carbon cycle. It is found that the climate feedback depends on the global warming and possibly the forcing history. The global warming from 1850 to 2100 ranges from 1.5°C under the RCP2.6 scenario to 4.4°C under the RCP8.5 scenario. Over this range the patterns of temperature and precipitation change are nearly independent of the global warming. The model shows a tendency to reduce the ocean heat uptake efficiency towards a warmer climate, and hence acceleration in warming in the later years. The precipitation sensitivity can be as high as 2.5% K-1 if the CO2 concentration is constant, or as small as 1.6% K-1, if the CO2 concentration is increasing. The oceanic uptake of anthropogenic carbon increases over time in all scenarios, being smallest in the experiment forced by RCP2.6 and largest in that for RCP8.5. The land also serves as a net carbon sink in all scenarios, predominantly in boreal regions. The strong tropical carbon sources found in the RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 experiments are almost absent in the RCP4.5 experiment, which can be explained by reforestation in the RCP4.5 scenario.

資料詳細

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言語: eng - English
 日付: 20122013-082013-09-172013
 出版の状態: 出版
 ページ: -
 出版情報: -
 目次: -
 査読: 査読あり
 識別子(DOI, ISBNなど): DOI: 10.1002/jame.20038
 学位: -

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出版物 1

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出版物名: Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
  その他 : JAMES
種別: 学術雑誌
 著者・編者:
所属:
出版社, 出版地: Washington, D.C. : American Geophysical Union
ページ: - 巻号: 5 通巻号: - 開始・終了ページ: 572 - 597 識別子(ISBN, ISSN, DOIなど): その他: 1942-2466
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/19422466