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  A Bayesian rule for adaptive control based on causal interventions

Ortega, P., & Braun, D. (2010). A Bayesian rule for adaptive control based on causal interventions. In E. Hutter, & M. Kitzelmann (Eds.), Third Conference on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI 2010) (pp. 121-126). Amsterdam, Netherlands: Atlantis Press.

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Item Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0013-C102-A Version Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0002-94CE-F
Genre: Conference Paper

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https://arxiv.org/pdf/0911.5104.pdf (Any fulltext)
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 Creators:
Ortega, PA1, Author              
Braun, DA1, Author              
Affiliations:
1University of Cambridge, ou_persistent22              

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 Abstract: Explaining adaptive behavior is a central problem in artificial intelligence research. Here we formalize adaptive agents as mixture distributions over sequences of inputs and outputs (I/O). Each distribution of the mixture constitutes a `possible world', but the agent does not know which of the possible worlds it is actually facing. The problem is to adapt the I/O stream in a way that is compatible with the true world. A natural measure of adaptation can be obtained by the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the I/O distribution of the true world and the I/O distribution expected by the agent that is uncertain about possible worlds. In the case of pure input streams, the Bayesian mixture provides a well-known solution for this problem. We show, however, that in the case of I/O streams this solution breaks down, because outputs are issued by the agent itself and require a different probabilistic syntax as provided by intervention calculus. Based on this calculus, we obtain a Bayesian control rule that allows modeling adaptive behavior with mixture distributions over I/O streams. This rule might allow for a novel approach to adaptive control based on a minimum KL-principle.

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 Dates: 2010-03
 Publication Status: Published in print
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Method: -
 Identifiers: BibTex Citekey: OrtegaB2010
 Degree: -

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Title: Third Conference on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI 2010)
Place of Event: Lugano, Switzerland
Start-/End Date: 2010-03-05 - 2010-03-08

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Title: Third Conference on Artificial General Intelligence (AGI 2010)
Source Genre: Proceedings
 Creator(s):
Hutter, E, Editor
Kitzelmann, M, Editor
Affiliations:
-
Publ. Info: Amsterdam, Netherlands : Atlantis Press
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 121 - 126 Identifier: ISBN: 978-90-78677-36-9