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  Will greenhouse gas-induced warming over the next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes ?

Bengtsson, L., Botzet, M., & Esch, M. (1996). Will greenhouse gas-induced warming over the next 50 years lead to higher frequency and greater intensity of hurricanes? Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 48, 57-73. doi:10.1034/j.1600-0870.1996.00004.x.

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Item Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0014-9F62-E Version Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0014-9FFD-5
Genre: Journal Article

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 Creators:
Bengtsson, Lennart1, Author              
Botzet, Michael1, Author              
Esch, Monika1, Author              
Affiliations:
1MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_913545              

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 Abstract: The use of a high resolution atmospheric model at T106 resolution, for studying the influence of greenhouse warming on tropical storm climatology, is investigated. The same method for identifying the storms has been used as in a previous study by Bengtsson et al. The sea surface temperature anomalies have been taken from a previous transient climate change experiment, obtained with a low resolution ocean-atmosphere coupled model. The global distribution of the storms, at the time when the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere had doubled, agrees in geographical position and seasonal variability with that of the present climate, but the number of storms is significantly reduced, particularly at the Southern Hemisphere. The main reason to this, appear to be connected to changes in the large scale circulation, such as a weaker Hadley circulation and stronger upper air westerlies. The low level vorticity in the hurricane genesis regions is generally reduced compared to the present climate, while the vertical tropospheric wind shear is somewhat increased. Most tropical storm regions indicate reduced surface windspeeds and a slightly weaker hydrological cycle.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 1996
 Publication Status: Published in print
 Pages: -
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 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0870.1996.00004.x
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Title: Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography
  Other : Tellus Ser. A-Dyn. Meteorol. Oceanol.
Source Genre: Journal
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Publ. Info: Copenhagen, DK : Blackwell Munksgaard
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 48 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 57 - 73 Identifier: ISSN: 0280-6495
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/954925506307