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  "Prediction" or "Projection"? The Nomenclature of Climate Science

Bray, D., & von Storch, H. (2009). "Prediction" or "Projection"? The Nomenclature of Climate Science. SCIENCE COMMUNICATION, 30(4), 534-543. doi:10.1177/1075547009333698.

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 Creators:
Bray, Dennis1, Author           
von Storch, Hans1, Author           
Affiliations:
1C 3 - Climate Change Perception and Communication, Research Area C: Climate Change and Social Dynamics, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations, ou_1863489              

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Free keywords: climate change; climate models; prediction; projection; survey of climate scientists;
 Abstract: A survey among climate scientists is used to examine the terminology concerning two key concepts in climate science, namely, predictions and projections, as used among climate scientists. The survey data suggest that the terminology used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is not adopted, or only loosely adopted, by a significant minority of scientists. Contrary to established guidelines, approximately 29% of the respondents associate probable developments with projections, and approximately 20% of the respondents associate possible developments with predictions.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2009-06
 Publication Status: Issued
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: ISI: 000265955100005
DOI: 10.1177/1075547009333698
 Degree: -

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Title: SCIENCE COMMUNICATION
Source Genre: Journal
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 30 (4) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 534 - 543 Identifier: ISSN: 1075-5470