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  High-Resolution Simulations of Recent Past Extreme Precipitation Events Over Cyprus

Zittis, G., Hadjinicolaou, P., Bruggeman, A., Camera, C., & Lelieveld, J. (2017). High-Resolution Simulations of Recent Past Extreme Precipitation Events Over Cyprus. In T. Karacostas (Ed.), Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences. Proceedings of the 13th International Conference of Meteorology, Climatology and Atmospheric Physics (COMECAP 2016) that is held in Thessaloniki from 19 to 21 September 2016 (pp. 483-489).

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Item Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-002D-95A9-A Version Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-002D-95AC-4
Genre: Conference Paper

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 Creators:
Zittis, G.1, Author
Hadjinicolaou, P.1, Author
Bruggeman, A.1, Author
Camera, C.1, Author
Lelieveld, J.2, Author           
Affiliations:
1external, ou_persistent22              
2Atmospheric Chemistry, Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Max Planck Society, ou_1826285              

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 Abstract: Besides global warming, climate change is expected to influence precipitation amounts and distribution. While global climate projections typically address the long-term, and weather forecasts the short to medium range up to weeks, decision-makers and stakeholders also need guidance on inter-annual to decadal time scales. In this context, the BINGO H2020 project aims both at reducing the uncertainty of near-term climate predictions and developing response strategies. One of the main objectives is to provide decadal predictions with a specific focus on extreme events. The projected precipitation distribution will eventually drive hydrological impact models. In this study we present the dynamical downscaling of the ERA-Interim (EI) dataset for validation purposes. Extreme rainfall periods were identified and simulated in very high horizontal resolution (up to 4 km) using the WRF model. In a later stage, future periods of extreme precipitation or droughts will be identified from the output of the MiKlip decadal prediction system and will be downscaled in order to assess the climate change impact on water resources in Cyprus. Our simulations seem to capture reasonably well rainfall during an extreme event (November 2014) over the eastern Mediterranean. It is also found to improve the EI precipitation that was found to be underestimated.

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 Dates: 2017
 Publication Status: Issued
 Pages: -
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 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: ISI: 000392385800069
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-35095-0_69
 Degree: -

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Title: 13th International Conference on Meteorology, Climatology and Atmospheric Physics (COMECAP)
Place of Event: Aristotle Univ Res Disseminat Ctr, Thessaloniki, GREECE
Start-/End Date: 2016-09-19 - 2016-09-21

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Title: Perspectives on Atmospheric Sciences. Proceedings of the 13th International Conference of Meteorology, Climatology and Atmospheric Physics (COMECAP 2016) that is held in Thessaloniki from 19 to 21 September 2016
Source Genre: Proceedings
 Creator(s):
Karacostas, T., Editor
Affiliations:
-
Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 483 - 489 Identifier: ISSN: 2194-5217
ISBN: 978-3-319-35095-0; 978-3-319-35094-3

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Title: Springer Atmospheric Sciences
Source Genre: Series
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Publ. Info: -
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: ISSN: 2194-5217