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  Reconciling global model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks

Grassi, G., House, J., Kurz, W. A., Cescatti, A., Houghton, R. A., Peters, G. P., et al. (2018). Reconciling global model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks. Nature Climate Change, 8, 914-920. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0283-x.

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Item Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-1DB9-D Version Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000A-D957-0
Genre: Journal Article

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 Creators:
Grassi, Giacomo, Author
House, Jo, Author
Kurz, Werner A., Author
Cescatti, Alessandro, Author
Houghton, Richard A., Author
Peters, Glen P., Author
Sanz, Maria J., Author
Viñas, Raul Abad, Author
Alkama, Ramdane, Author
Arneth, Almut, Author
Bondeau, Alberte, Author
Dentener, Frank, Author
Fader, Marianela, Author
Federici, Sandro, Author
Friedlingstein, Pierre, Author
Jain, Atul K., Author
Kato, Etsushi, Author
Koven, Charles D., Author
Lee, Donna, Author
Nabel, Julia E. M. S.1, Author           
Nassikas, Alexander A., AuthorPerugini, Lucia, AuthorRossi, Simone, AuthorSitch, Stephen, AuthorViovy, Nicolas, AuthorWiltshire, Andy, AuthorZaehle, Sönke2, 3, Author            more..
Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Terrestrial Biosphere Modelling, Dr. Sönke Zähle, Department Biogeochemical Integration, Dr. M. Reichstein, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, ou_1938309              
3Terrestrial Biosphere Modelling, Dr. Sönke Zähle, Department Biogeochemical Integration, Prof. Dr. Martin Heimann, Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, ou_1497787              

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 Abstract: Achieving the long-term temperature goal of the Paris Agreement requires forest-based mitigation. Collective progress towards
this goal will be assessed by the Paris Agreement’s Global stocktake. At present, there is a discrepancy of about 4 GtCO2 yr−1 in global anthropogenic net land-use emissions between global models (reflected in IPCC assessment reports) and aggregated national GHG inventories (under the UNFCCC). We show that a substantial part of this discrepancy (about 3.2 GtCO2 yr−1) can be explained by conceptual differences in anthropogenic forest sink estimation, related to the representation of environmental change impacts and the areas considered as managed. For a more credible tracking of collective progress under the Global stocktake, these conceptual differences between models and inventories need to be reconciled. We implement a new method of disaggregation of global land model results that allows greater comparability with GHG inventories. This provides a deeper understanding of model–inventory differences, allowing more transparent analysis of forest-based mitigation and facilitating
a more accurate Global stocktake.

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 Dates: 2018-08-282018-09-242018
 Publication Status: Issued
 Pages: -
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 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0283-x
Other: BGC3020
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Title: Nature Climate Change
  Abbreviation : Nat. Clim. Chang.
Source Genre: Journal
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Publ. Info: London : Nature Publishing Group
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 8 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 914 - 920 Identifier: ISSN: 1758-678x
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/1758-678x