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  The Inversion of the "Really Big Trade-Off": Homeownership and Pensions in Long-Run Perspective

Van Gunten, T. S., & Kohl, S. (2020). The Inversion of the "Really Big Trade-Off": Homeownership and Pensions in Long-Run Perspective. West European Politics, 43(2), 435-463. doi:10.1080/01402382.2019.1609285.

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Datensatz-Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0003-AD1B-D Versions-Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0008-5DB7-2
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 Urheber:
Van Gunten, Tod S.1, 2, Autor
Kohl, Sebastian3, Autor           
Affiliations:
1School of Social an Political Science, University of Edinburgh, UK, ou_persistent22              
2Transnationale Diffusion von Innovationen, MPI for the Study of Societies, Max Planck Society, ou_2054288              
3Soziologie des Marktes, MPI for the Study of Societies, Max Planck Society, ou_1214556              

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Schlagwörter: Homeownership, welfare, pensions, trade-off, long run
 Zusammenfassung: The hypothesis of a trade-off between homeownership and welfare state provision, first proposed by Jim Kemeny around 1980, is a foundational claim in the political economy of housing. However, the evidence for this hypothesis is unclear at both macro and micro levels. This paper examines the link between welfare and homeownership at the macro level using new long-run data and a multilevel modelling approach. It shows that the negative cross-sectional correlation between homeownership and public welfare provision observed in the earliest available data disappears and becomes neutral by the 1980s and possibly positive subsequently. Within-country trajectories vary, but are significantly positive in more countries than significantly negative, suggesting that in some contexts welfare and homeownership are complements rather than competitors. The paper posits a dual ratchet effect mechanism in both pension benefits and homeownership capable of producing this inversion, and further suggests that rising public indebtedness and the debt-stabilising effects of welfare states may account for the emergence of complementarity in the pension‒homeownership relationship. The latter supports the hypothesis that some countries have avoided the trade-off by ‘buying time’ on credit markets.

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Sprache(n): eng - English
 Datum: 2019-05-242020
 Publikationsstatus: Erschienen
 Seiten: -
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: Abstract
Literature and theory
Data and methods
The trade-off in the long run: descriptive findings
Multivariate analysis
Country trajectories: buying time?
Conclusion
Supplemental material
References
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1080/01402382.2019.1609285
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: West European Politics
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift
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Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
Seiten: - Band / Heft: 43 (2) Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: 435 - 463 Identifikator: ISSN: 0140-2382
ISSN: 1743-9655

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Titel: Bricks in the Wall: The Politics of Housing in Europe
Genre der Quelle: Heft
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