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Zusammenfassung:
The aim of this ongoing work is to analyze the predictability of seasonal to interannual climate conditions in high northern latitudes. One climate mode showing a high potential for interannual predictability is characterized by the formation of sea ice anomalies at the Siberian coast, their propagation across the Arctic towards Fram Strait, anomalous sea ice export through Fran Strait and advection of the sea ice/freshwater signal into the Labrador Sea, where it significantly influences ocean convection, salinity, sea ice distribution, ocean- and air temperature (Koenigk et al., 2006). The potential predictability of climate is analyzed by performing ensemble experiments with a global coupled atmosphere-ocean-sea ice model.
