English
 
Help Privacy Policy Disclaimer
  Advanced SearchBrowse
  1. Item Summary / 
  2. View item

Item

ITEM ACTIONSEXPORT
Add to Basket
 Local TagsRelease HistoryDetailsSummary
  Predictable variations of the carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 growth in a multi-model framework

Ilyina, T., Li, H., Spring, A., Müller, W. A., Bopp, L., Chikamoto, M. O., et al. (2021). Predictable variations of the carbon sinks and atmospheric CO2 growth in a multi-model framework. Geophysical Research Letters, 48: e2020GL090695. doi:10.1029/2020GL090695.

Item is

 

show all hide all

Basic

show hide
Item Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-349E-D Version Permalink: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000F-6EFD-A
Genre: Journal Article

Files

show Files
hide Files
:
essoar.10504292.1.pdf (Preprint), 2MB
 
File Permalink:
-
Name:
essoar.10504292.1.pdf
Description:
Preprint
OA-Status:
Visibility:
Private
MIME-Type / Checksum:
application/pdf
Technical Metadata:
Copyright Date:
-
Copyright Info:
-
License:
-
:
2020GL090695.pdf (Publisher version), 3MB
View   Save
File Permalink:
https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0008-4EB6-4
Name:
2020GL090695.pdf
Description:
-
OA-Status:
Hybrid
Visibility:
Public
MIME-Type / Checksum:
application/pdf / [MD5]
Technical Metadata:
View
Copyright Date:
2021
Copyright Info:
© The Authors
License:
-
:
2021_GRL_Ilyina.tar.gz (Supplementary material), 25MB
View   Save
File Permalink:
https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0009-3F27-6
Name:
2021_GRL_Ilyina.tar.gz
Description:
Supplementary material and data
OA-Status:
Miscellaneous
Visibility:
Public
MIME-Type / Checksum:
application/gzip / [MD5]
Technical Metadata:
View
Copyright Date:
2021
Copyright Info:
© The Authors
License:
-

Locators

show

Creators

show
hide
 Creators:
Ilyina, Tatiana1, Author                 
Li, Hongmei1, Author                 
Spring, Aaron1, 2, Author                 
Müller, Wolfgang A.3, Author           
Bopp, Laurent, Author
Chikamoto, Megumi O., Author
Danabasoglu, Gokhan, Author
Dobrynin, Mikhail, Author
Dunne, John P. Patrick, Author
Fransner, Filippa, Author
Friedlingstein, Pierre, Author
Lee, Woo-Sung, Author
Lovenduski, Nicole Suzanne, Author
Merryfield, William J, Author
Mignot, Juliette, Author
Park, Jong-Yeon, Author
Séférian, Roland, Author
Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel, Author
Watanabe, Michio, Author
Yeager, Stephen, Author
Affiliations:
1Ocean Biogeochemistry, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913556              
2IMPRS on Earth System Modelling, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_913547              
3Decadal Climate Predictions - MiKlip, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_1479671              

Content

show
hide
Free keywords: -
 Abstract: Inter-annual to decadal variability in the strength of the land and ocean carbon sinks impede accurate predictions of year-to-year atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) growth rate. Such information is crucial to verify the effectiveness of fossil fuel emissions reduction measures. Using a multi-model framework comprising prediction systems based on Earth system models, we find a predictive skill for the global ocean carbon sink of up to 6 years. Longer regional predictability horizons and robust spatial patterns are found across single models. On land, a predictive skill of up to 2 years is primarily maintained in the tropics and extra-tropics enabled by the initialization of the physical climate variables towards observations. We further show that anomalies of atmospheric CO2 growth rate inferred from natural variations of the land and ocean carbon sinks are predictable at lead time of 2 years and the skill is limited by the land carbon sink predictability horizon

Details

show
hide
Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2020-092020-12-282021-03-282021-03-28
 Publication Status: Issued
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1029/2020GL090695
BibTex Citekey: IlyinaLiEtAl2021
 Degree: -

Event

show

Legal Case

show

Project information

show

Source 1

show
hide
Title: Geophysical Research Letters
  Abbreviation : GRL
Source Genre: Journal
 Creator(s):
Affiliations:
Publ. Info: Washington, D.C. : American Geophysical Union / Wiley
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 48 Sequence Number: e2020GL090695 Start / End Page: - Identifier: ISSN: 0094-8276
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/954925465217