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  Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks

Grassi, G., House, J., Kurz, W. A., Cescatti, A., Houghton, R. A., Peters, G. P., et al. (2018). Reconciling global-model estimates and country reporting of anthropogenic forest CO2 sinks. Nature Climate Change, 8, 914-920. doi:10.1038/s41558-018-0283-x.

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Item Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-5978-F Version Permalink: http://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-5983-1
Genre: Journal Article

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 Creators:
Grassi, Giacomo, Author
House, Jo, Author
Kurz, Werner A., Author
Cescatti, Alessandro, Author
Houghton, Richard A., Author
Peters, Glen P., Author
Sanz, Maria J., Author
Viñas, Raul Abad, Author
Alkama, Ramdane, Author
Arneth, Almut, Author
Bondeau, Alberte, Author
Dentener, Frank, Author
Fader, Marianela, Author
Federici, Sandro, Author
Friedlingstein, Pierre, Author
Jain, Atul K., Author
Kato, Etsushi, Author
Koven, Charles D., Author
Lee, Donna, Author
Nabel, Julia E. M. S.1, Author              
Nassikas, Alexander A., AuthorPerugini, Lucia, AuthorRossi, Simone, AuthorSitch, Stephen, AuthorViovy, Nicolas, AuthorWiltshire, Andy, AuthorZaehle, Sönke2, Author more..
Affiliations:
1Emmy Noether Junior Research Group Forest Management in the Earth System, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_1832286              
2Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society, Hans-Knöll-Str. 10, 07745 Jena, DE, ou_1497750              

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 Abstract: Achieving the long-term temperature goal of the Paris Agreement requires forest-based mitigation. Collective progress towards this goal will be assessed by the Paris Agreement’s Global stocktake. At present, there is a discrepancy of about 4 GtCO2 yr−1 in global anthropogenic net land-use emissions between global models (reflected in IPCC assessment reports) and aggregated national GHG inventories (under the UNFCCC). We show that a substantial part of this discrepancy (about 3.2 GtCO2 yr−1) can be explained by conceptual differences in anthropogenic forest sink estimation, related to the representation of environmental change impacts and the areas considered as managed. For a more credible tracking of collective progress under the Global stocktake, these conceptual differences between models and inventories need to be reconciled. We implement a new method of disaggregation of global land model results that allows greater comparability with GHG inventories. This provides a deeper understanding of model–inventory differences, allowing more transparent analysis of forest-based mitigation and facilitating a more accurate Global stocktake.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2018-082018-09-242018-09-24
 Publication Status: Published in print
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41558-018-0283-x
 Degree: -

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Project name : LUC4C
Grant ID : GA603542
Funding program : Funding Programme 7 (FP7)
Funding organization : European Commission (EC)

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Title: Nature Climate Change
Source Genre: Journal
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Publ. Info: London : Nature Publishing Group
Pages: - Volume / Issue: 8 Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 914 - 920 Identifier: ISSN: 1758-678x
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/1758-678x