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  Till Austerity Do Us Part? A Survey Experiment on Support for the Euro in Italy

Baccaro, L., Bremer, B., & Neimanns, E. (2021). Till Austerity Do Us Part? A Survey Experiment on Support for the Euro in Italy. European Union Politics, (published online April 8). doi:10.1177/14651165211004772.

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https://doi.org/10.1177/14651165211004772 (Publisher version)
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 Creators:
Baccaro, Lucio1, Author              
Bremer, Björn1, Author              
Neimanns, Erik1, Author              
Affiliations:
1Politische Ökonomie von Wachstumsmodellen, MPI for the Study of Societies, Max Planck Society, ou_2489691              

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Free keywords: Austerity, euro, Italy, public opinion, survey experiment
 Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic worsened Italy’s fiscal outlook by increasing public debt. If interest rates were to rise, it would become more likely that Italy experiences a financial crisis and requires a European bailout. How does making EU funds conditional on austerity and structural reforms affect Italians’ support for the euro? Based on a novel survey experiment, this article shows that a majority of voters chooses to remain in the euro if a bailout does not involve conditionality, but the pro-euro majority turns into a relative majority for ‘Italexit’ if the bailout is contingent on austerity policies. Blaming different actors for the fiscal crisis has little effect on support. These results suggest that conditionality may turn Italian voters against the euro.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2021-04-08
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: 23
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: Introduction
Preferences for eurozone membership and exit during the euro crisis
Framing effects on support for the euro
Data and methods
Results
Conclusion
Acknowledgements
Notes
References
 Rev. Type: -
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1177/14651165211004772
 Degree: -

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Title: European Union Politics
Source Genre: Journal
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: (published online April 8) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: - Identifier: ISSN: 1465-1165
ISSN: 1741-2757