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  A two-tiered approach to long-range climate forecasting

Bengtsson, L., Schlese, U., Roeckner, E., Latif, M., Barnett, T., & Graham, N. (1993). A two-tiered approach to long-range climate forecasting. Science, 261(5124), 1028-1029. doi:10.1126/science.261.5124.1026.

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science.261.5124.1026.pdf (Publisher version), 2MB
 
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 Creators:
Bengtsson, Lennart1, Author           
Schlese, Ulrich1, Author
Roeckner, Erich1, Author           
Latif, Mojib1, Author           
Barnett, T.P., Author
Graham, N., Author
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1MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, Bundesstraße 53, 20146 Hamburg, DE, ou_913545              

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Free keywords: climate; forecast; general circulation model; long range forecast; sea surface temperature
 Abstract: Long-range global climate forecasts were made by use of a model for predicting a tropical Pacific sea-surface temperature (SST) in tandem with an atmospheric general circulation model. The SST is predicted first at long lead times into the future. These ocean forecasts are then used to force the atmospheric model and so produce climate forecasts at lead times of the SST forecasts. Prediction of seven large climatic events of the 1970s to 1990s by this technique are in good agreement with observations over many regions of the globe.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 1993
 Publication Status: Issued
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 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1126/science.261.5124.1026
BibTex Citekey: Bengtsson19931028
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Title: Science
Source Genre: Journal
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 261 (5124) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 1028 - 1029 Identifier: ISSN: 00368075