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Abstract:
Recent advances in the use of dynamical and statistical models to forecast the weather are described. High resolution physical-mathematical models can now predict the development of synoptic weather systems in great detail for a few days ahead, while large-scale phenomena like blocking can be predicted for about a week or more. The local forecasting problem is presently being attacked by statistical- and meso-scale models using the large-scale predictions as input parameters. Very encouraging results have been obtained to predict the local weather, in particular when the local weather is influenced by topography and the underlying surface. © 1981 Birkhäuser Verlag.
