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  Growth Models and Voter Preferences: The Moderating Impact of Export-Led Growth on Centre-Left Voters

Neimanns, E., & Baccaro, L. (2024). Growth Models and Voter Preferences: The Moderating Impact of Export-Led Growth on Centre-Left Voters. Journal of European Public Policy. doi:10.1080/13501763.2024.2398139.

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https://doi.org/10.1080/13501763.2024.2398139 (Verlagsversion)
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https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.26933778.v1 (Forschungsdaten)
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Urheber

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 Urheber:
Neimanns, Erik1, Autor                 
Baccaro, Lucio1, Autor                 
Affiliations:
1Politische Ökonomie, MPI for the Study of Societies, Max Planck Society, ou_3363015              

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Schlagwörter: Growth models; voting; preferences; competitiveness; exports; wages
 Zusammenfassung: This article examines the relationship between national growth models and voters’ economic preferences. We theorise that centre-left voters are cross-pressured between a demand for higher wages and concerns about competitiveness, but the impact varies by growth model: the more a country is export-led, the more the competitiveness motive is internalised, moderating worker demands for wage increases. As a result, we expect a convergence in preferences between centre-left and centre-right voters as the reliance on export-led growth increases. We corroborate these claims through three sets of empirical analyses: a cross-sectional analysis of individual wage dissatisfaction in nineteen Western countries, a panel analysis of wage dissatisfaction in a typical export-led (Germany) and a typical consumption-led economy (UK), and an analysis of preferences for export-led growth in these two countries. Our findings contribute to the emerging literature on the politics of growth models and the waning of economic conflict in advanced capitalist democracies.

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Sprache(n): eng - English
 Datum: 2024-02-292024-08-222024-09-03
 Publikationsstatus: Online veröffentlicht
 Seiten: 26
 Ort, Verlag, Ausgabe: -
 Inhaltsverzeichnis: Introduction
Growth models and voter preferences
Empirical analysis
Discussion and conclusion
Supplemental material
Acknowledgements
Footnotes
References
 Art der Begutachtung: Expertenbegutachtung
 Identifikatoren: DOI: 10.1080/13501763.2024.2398139
 Art des Abschluß: -

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Titel: Journal of European Public Policy
Genre der Quelle: Zeitschrift
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Seiten: - Band / Heft: - Artikelnummer: - Start- / Endseite: - Identifikator: ISSN: 1350-1763
ISSN: 1466-4429