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  Large language models surpass human experts in predicting neuroscience results

Luo, X., Rechardt, A., Sun, G., Nejad, K. K., Yáñez, F., Yilmaz, B., et al. (2024). Large language models surpass human experts in predicting neuroscience results. Nature Human Behaviour, online ahead of print. doi:10.1038/s41562-024-02046-9.

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 Creators:
Luo, Xiaoliang1, Author
Rechardt, Akilles1, Author
Sun, Guangzhi1, Author
Nejad, Kevin K.1, Author
Yáñez, Felipe2, Author                 
Yilmaz, Bati1, Author
Lee, Kangjoo1, Author
Cohen, Alexandra O.1, Author
Borghesani, Valentina1, Author
Pashkov, Anton1, Author
Marinazzo, Daniele1, Author
Nicholas, Jonathan1, Author
Salatiello, Alessandro1, Author
Sucholutsky, Ilia1, Author
Minervini, Pasquale1, Author
Razavi, Sepehr1, Author
Rocca, Roberta1, Author
Yusifov, Elkhan1, Author
Okalova, Tereza1, Author
Gu, Nianlong1, Author
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Affiliations:
1External Organizations, ou_persistent22              
2Max Planck Research Group In Silico Brain Sciences, Max Planck Institute for Neurobiology of Behavior – caesar, Max Planck Society, ou_3361774              

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Free keywords: Neuroscience; Scientific community
 Abstract: Scientific discoveries often hinge on synthesizing decades of research, a task that potentially outstrips human information processing capacities. Large language models (LLMs) offer a solution. LLMs trained on the vast scientific literature could potentially integrate noisy yet interrelated findings to forecast novel results better than human experts. Here, to evaluate this possibility, we created BrainBench, a forward-looking benchmark for predicting neuroscience results. We find that LLMs surpass experts in predicting experimental outcomes. BrainGPT, an LLM we tuned on the neuroscience literature, performed better yet. Like human experts, when LLMs indicated high confidence in their predictions, their responses were more likely to be correct, which presages a future where LLMs assist humans in making discoveries. Our approach is not neuroscience specific and is transferable to other knowledge-intensive endeavours.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2024-10-022024-11-27
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: -
 Table of Contents: -
 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/s41562-024-02046-9
PMID: 39604572
 Degree: -

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Project name : -
Grant ID : ES/W007347/1
Funding program : -
Funding organization : Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC)
Project name : -
Grant ID : 18302
Funding program : -
Funding organization : Royal Society Wolfson

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Title: Nature Human Behaviour
  Abbreviation : Nat Hum Behav
Source Genre: Journal
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Publ. Info: London : Nature Research
Pages: - Volume / Issue: - Sequence Number: , online ahead of print Start / End Page: - Identifier: ISSN: 2397-3374
CoNE: https://pure.mpg.de/cone/journals/resource/2397-3374