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  The Negotiation Trap: An Experiment on a Large Language Model

Engel, C. (2024). The Negotiation Trap: An Experiment on a Large Language Model.

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 Creators:
Engel, Christoph1, Author           
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1Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, Max Planck Society, ou_2173688              

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Free keywords: forced choice of contract clause; price discrimination; large language model; experiment
 JEL: C91 - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
 JEL: D01 - Microeconomic Behavior: Underlying Principles
 JEL: D02 - Institutions: Design, Formation, Operations, and Impact
 JEL: D12 - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
 JEL: D42 - Monopoly
 JEL: D91 - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making
 JEL: K12 - Contract Law
 Abstract: In an experiment on the large language model GPT-4o, a supplier always makes a higher profit if it replaces uniform contract terms with a set of terms between which the custom-er may choose. The extra profit results from price discrimination. There is a first order and a second order effect. The first order effect results from heterogeneous willingness to pay for a more protective term. The second order effect results from the possibility that contract choice is a signal for general willingness to pay for the traded commodity. In the ex-periment, the effect is bigger if the least protective version is labelled as the default, and more protective terms as an “upgrade”. The effect is smaller if, conversely, the most pro-tective version is labelled as the default and less protective (and cheaper) versions as an opportunity for “savings”. The effect is also bigger if the supplier only sets the price after it knows which version of the contract the consumer chooses. The profit increasing effect of giving the consumer a choice is strong. There is no piece of demographic information that has a stronger effect. Most pieces of demographic information (which the supplier might, for instance, learn through cookie data) have a significantly smaller effect on profit. If the supplier combines cookie information about demographic markers with contract choice, it always makes an extra profit.

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 Dates: 2024-12-30
 Publication Status: Published online
 Pages: -
 Publishing info: Bonn : Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods, Discussion Paper 2024/19
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