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  Early-warning signals for critical transitions [Review]

Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W. A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S. R., Dakos, V., et al. (2009). Early-warning signals for critical transitions [Review]. Nature, 461(7260), 53-59. doi:10.1038/nature08227.

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Scheffer, M., Author
Bascompte, J., Author
Brock, W. A., Author
Brovkin, V.1, Author                 
Carpenter, S. R., Author
Dakos, V., Author
Held, H., Author
van Nes, E. H., Author
Rietkerk, M., Author
Sugihara, G., Author
Affiliations:
1Climate-Biogeosphere Interaction, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society, ou_913566              

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 Abstract: Complex dynamical systems, ranging from ecosystems to financial markets and the climate, can have tipping points at which a sudden shift to a contrasting dynamical regime may occur. Although predicting such critical points before they are reached is extremely difficult, work in different scientific fields is now suggesting the existence of generic early-warning signals that may indicate for a wide class of systems if a critical threshold is approaching.

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Language(s): eng - English
 Dates: 2009-09
 Publication Status: Issued
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 Rev. Type: Peer
 Identifiers: DOI: 10.1038/nature08227
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Title: Nature
Source Genre: Journal
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Pages: - Volume / Issue: 461 (7260) Sequence Number: - Start / End Page: 53 - 59 Identifier: -