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Abstract:
Volcanic emissions may have the potential to alter cirrus cloud properties. Here we conduct different sensitivity studies with the ECHAM4 general circulation model for 2.5 years after the Mount Pinatubo eruption ( July 1991 to December 1993) and compare homogeneous cirrus formation caused by sedimenting sulfate particles produced in the eruption plume with homogeneous cirrus formation in the undisturbed atmosphere. In the first scenario, the sulfate aerosol mass from Pinatubo is added to the background aerosol concentration assuming a monomodal aerosol. Here the aerosol concentration increases by up to 3000 cm(-3) in 1992, which can be regarded as an upper limit more representative for the first months after the eruption. The ice crystal number concentration increases by up to 1 cm(-3) near the tropical tropopause more than doubling the pre-existing concentration in this region one year after the eruption. In the second, more realistic, scenario the Pinatubo aerosol is added to a bimodal background size distribution as a separate large particle mode. Here the aerosol number concentration increases by 10 - 25 cm(-3), which can be regarded as a lower bound more representative for what has been observed in 1992. Then the ice crystal number increases at most 50% in the tropics in 1992. Satellite observations show an increase in ice water path starting in 1992 that could be related to either the Mount Pinatubo eruption or the El Nino event or both but a decrease in total cloud cover. While there is no trend on cloud microphysical or optical properties in our second scenario, the first scenario shows a pronounced increase in ice water path and a noticeable impact on cloud radiative forcing.
