The ConflictSpace of Cataclysm: The International System and the Spread of War 
1914-1917

Vasquez, John A.; Diehl, Paul F.; Flint, Colin; Scheffran, Jürgen; Chi, Sang-Hyun; Rider, Toby J.

doi:10.1111/j.1743-8594.2011.00128.x

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The ConflictSpace of Cataclysm: The International System and the Spread of War 1914-1917

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Citation

Vasquez, J. A., Diehl, P. F., Flint, C., Scheffran, J., Chi, S.-H., & Rider, T. J. (2011). The ConflictSpace of Cataclysm: The International System and the Spread of War 1914-1917. Foreign Policy Analysis, 7(2), 143-168. doi:10.1111/j.1743-8594.2011.00128.x.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0018-908C-8

Abstract

Social network analysis is used to show that underlying systemic structuremade war more likely to spread in 1914 than earlier in the century.The changing network density of three diffusion processes is seenas crucial--alliances, interstate rivalries, and territorial disputes.The findings show that the density of each of these factors increasedin the system in varying degrees from 1900 to the end of 1913. Howthe three diffusion processes interacted with contiguity to makethe local war between Austria-Hungary and Serbia spread to becomea world war is explained both theoretically and historically.