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Vortrag

Prediction as a Source of Social Power: The History of Forecasting from the RAND Corporation to the Financial Crisis

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http://vimeo.com/86594634
(Ergänzendes Material)

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Ergänzendes Material (frei zugänglich)

mpifg_andersson14_3001.mp3
(Ergänzendes Material), 92MB

Zitation

Andersson, J. (2014). Prediction as a Source of Social Power: The History of Forecasting from the RAND Corporation to the Financial Crisis. Talk presented at Öffentlicher Vortrag am MPIfG. Köln. 2014-01-30.


Zitierlink: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0019-18CA-E
Zusammenfassung
In her lecture, Jenny Andersson deals specifically with the history of Delphi, a particular method for forecasting or long range planning based on the production of expert consensus. She lays out the origins of this technology in the futurological research performed at the American RAND Corporation in the immediate post-war period, and follows its journey as a fundamental tool of power of until the financial crisis. She aims to provide an insight into the many ways in which contemporary societies govern futures, and argues that various forms of prediction are a key source of social power and that we therefore need to understand what prediction is, with what kinds of expertise and forms of knowledge it is performed, and in what way it exerts an influence on the governing structures of the present world.