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"A 30% chance of rain tomorrow" : how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts?

MPS-Authors
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Gigerenzer,  Gerd       
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;

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Hertwig,  Ralph       
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;

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Fasolo,  Barbara
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;

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Katsikopoulos,  Konstantinos V.
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;

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GG_30_Chance_2005.pdf
(Publisher version), 136KB

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Citation

Gigerenzer, G., Hertwig, R., Van den Broek, E., Fasolo, B., & Katsikopoulos, K. V. (2005). "A 30% chance of rain tomorrow": how does the public understand probabilistic weather forecasts? Risk Analysis, 25(3), 623-629.


Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0025-82EC-A
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