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Journal Article

Using natural frequencies to improve diagnostic inferences

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Hoffrage,  Ulrich
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;

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Gigerenzer,  Gerd       
Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;

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UH_Using_1998.pdf
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Citation

Hoffrage, U., & Gigerenzer, G. (1998). Using natural frequencies to improve diagnostic inferences. Academic Medicine, 73(5), 538-540.


Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0025-A092-2
Abstract
Purpose. To test whether physicians’ diagnostic inferences can be improved by communicating information using natural frequencies instead of probabilities. Whereas probabilities and relative frequencies are normalized with respect to disease base rates, natural frequencies are not normalized.