The world’s biggest gamble

Rockström, J.; Schellnhuber, H.J.; Hoskins, B.; Ramanathan, V.; Schlosser, P.; Brasseur, Guy P.; Gaffney, O.; Nobre, C.; Meinshausen, M.; Rogelj, J.; Lucht, W.

doi:10.1002/2016EF000392

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The world’s biggest gamble

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Brasseur, Guy P.
Environmental Modelling, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

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Rockstr-m_et_al-2016-Earth's_Future.pdf
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引用

Rockström, J., Schellnhuber, H., Hoskins, B., Ramanathan, V., Schlosser, P., Brasseur, G. P., Gaffney, O., Nobre, C., Meinshausen, M., Rogelj, J., & Lucht, W. (2016). The world’s biggest gamble. Earth's Future, 4, 465-470. doi:10.1002/2016EF000392.

引用: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-002C-221F-1

要旨

The scale of the decarbonisation challenge to meet the Paris Agreement is underplayed in the public arena. It will require precipitous emissions reductions within 40 years and a new carbon sink on the scale of the ocean sink. Even then, the world is extremely likely to overshoot. A catastrophic failure of policy, for example, waiting another decade for transformative policy and full commitments to fossil-free economies, will have irreversible and deleterious repercussions for humanity’s remaining time on Earth. Only a global zero carbon roadmap will put the world on a course to phase-out greenhouse gas emissions and create the essential carbon sinks for Earth-system stability, without which, world prosperity is not possible. © 2016 The Authors.