Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on 
European ecosystem productivity

Bastos, Ana; Ciais, P.; Friedlingstein, P.; Sitch, S.; Pongratz, Julia; Fan, L.; Wigneron, J. P.; Weber, Ulrich; Reichstein, Markus; Fu, Z.; Anthoni, P.; Arneth, A.; Haverd, V.; Jain, A. K.; Joetzjer, E.; Knauer, J.; Lienert, S.; Loughran, T.; McGuire, P. C.; Tian, H.; Viovy, N.; Zaehle, Sönke

doi:10.1126/sciadv.aba2724

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Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity

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Pongratz, Julia
Emmy Noether Junior Research Group Forest Management in the Earth System, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

Weber, Ulrich
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society;

Reichstein, Markus
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society;

Zaehle, Sönke
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Max Planck Society;

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Citation

Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Friedlingstein, P., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Fan, L., et al. (2020). Direct and seasonal legacy effects of the 2018 heat wave and drought on European ecosystem productivity. Science Advances, 6: eaba2724. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aba2724.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0006-99D1-1

Abstract

In summer 2018, central and northern Europe were stricken by extreme drought and heat (DH2018). The DH2018 differed from previous events in being preceded by extreme spring warming and brightening, but moderate rainfall deficits, yet registering the fastest transition between wet winter conditions and extreme summer drought. Using 11 vegetation models, we show that spring conditions promoted increased vegetation growth, which, in turn, contributed to fast soil moisture depletion, amplifying the summer drought. We find regional asymmetries in summer ecosystem carbon fluxes: increased (reduced) sink in the northern (southern) areas affected by drought. These asymmetries can be explained by distinct legacy effects of spring growth and of water-use efficiency dynamics mediated by vegetation composition, rather than by distinct ecosystem responses to summer heat/drought. The asymmetries in carbon and water exchanges during spring and summer 2018 suggest that future land-management strategies could influence patterns of summer heat waves and droughts under long-term warming.