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Meeting Abstract

The Role of Emotions in Probability Evaluations


Schulz,  E
Research Group Computational Principles of Intelligence, Max Planck Institute for Biological Cybernetics, Max Planck Society;

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Bertram, L., Nelson, J., & Schulz, E. (2020). The Role of Emotions in Probability Evaluations. In Abstracts of the Psychonomic Society (pp. 193). Austin, TX, USA: Psychonomic Society.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-350D-0
about the probability of an event is a fundamental component of our
everyday life and affects how certain we feel when making a decision or
predicting the future. Often, probabilistic uncertainty is communicated
as risk, for example when a tracking app tells us about our risk of being
infected with COVID-19. Previous research has demonstrated that risk
perceptions are affected by emotional states: emotion-specific appraisal
patterns, among them uncertainty appraisals, influence evaluations of risk
and modulate risk reducing behaviour. At the core of risks are probabilities
and evaluating probability distributions is fundamental to assessing
risks. Yet, how emotions affect people’s basic evaluations of probabilities
is an open question. I present research on a) the relationship between
anxiety, subjective evaluations of uncertainty and quantitative estimates
of neutral probabilistic events during the Coronavirus-pandemic and b)
people’s evaluations of probabilistic uncertainty (entropy) in different
experimentally induced emotional states (anxiety, pride and anger).