English
 
Help Privacy Policy Disclaimer
  Advanced SearchBrowse

Item

ITEM ACTIONSEXPORT
Add to Basket
  Release HistoryDetailsSummary

Released
Journal Article

Predicting regime changes and durations in Lorenz's atmospheric convection model

MPS-Authors
/persons/resource/persons145726

Gallas,  Jason A. C.
Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Max Planck Society;

/persons/resource/persons184345

Beims,  Marcus W.
Max Planck Institute for the Physics of Complex Systems, Max Planck Society;

External Resource
No external resources are shared
Fulltext (restricted access)
There are currently no full texts shared for your IP range.
Fulltext (public)
There are no public fulltexts stored in PuRe
Supplementary Material (public)
There is no public supplementary material available
Citation

Brugnago, E. L., Gallas, J. A. C., & Beims, M. W. (2020). Predicting regime changes and durations in Lorenz's atmospheric convection model. Chaos, 30(10): 103109. doi:10.1063/5.0013253.


Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0007-DF73-D
Abstract
We show that a characteristic alignment between Lyapunov vectors can be used to predict regime changes as well as regime duration in the classical Lorenz model of atmospheric convection. By combining Lyapunov vector alignment with maxima in the local expansion of bred vectors, we obtain an effective and competitive method to significantly decrease errors in the prediction of regime durations.