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On equilibrium fluctuations

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von Storch,  Jin-Song       
Ocean Statistics, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

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25-41889-1-PB.pdf
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primary-data.zip
(Supplementary material), 32KB

equi_fluctuations_revision2_1.pdf
(Supplementary material), 47KB

Citation

von Storch, J.-S. (2022). On equilibrium fluctuations. Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 74, 364-381. doi:10.16993/tellusa.25.


Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0009-9904-6
Abstract
This paper considers a dynamical system described by a multidimensional state vector x. A component x of x evolves according to dx/dt = f(x). Equilibrium fluctuations are fluctuations of an equilibrium solution x(t) obtained when the system is in its equilibrium state reached under a constant external forcing. The frequencies of these fluctuations range from the major frequencies of the underlying dynamics to the lowest possible frequency, the frequency zero. For such a system, the known feature of the differential operator d(·)/dt as a high-pass filter makes the spectrum of f to vanish not only at frequency zero, but de facto over an entire frequency range centered at frequency zero (when considering both positive and negative frequencies). Consequently, there is a non-zero portion of the total equilibrium variance of x that cannot be determined by the differential forcing f. Instead, this portion of variance arises from many impulse-like interactions of x with other components of x, which are received by x along an equilibrium solution over time. The effect of many impulse-like interactions can only be realized by integrating the evolution equations in form of dx/dt = f(x) forward in time. This integral effect is not contained in, and can hence not be explained by, a differential forcing f defined at individual time instances.