The only thing that can stop bad causal inference is good causal inference

Rohrer, Julia M.; Schmukle, Stefan C.; McElreath, Richard

doi:10.1017/S0140525X21000789

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The only thing that can stop bad causal inference is good causal inference

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McElreath, Richard
Department of Human Behavior Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Max Planck Society;

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Citation

Rohrer, J. M., Schmukle, S. C., & McElreath, R. (2022). The only thing that can stop bad causal inference is good causal inference. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 45: e91. doi:10.1017/S0140525X21000789.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000A-8357-0

Abstract

In psychology, causal inference – both the transport from lab estimates to the real world and estimation on the basis of observational data – is often pursued in a casual manner. Underlying assumptions remain unarticulated; potential pitfalls are compiled in post-hoc lists of flaws. The field should move on to coherent frameworks of causal inference and generalizability that have been developed elsewhere.