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Journal Article

The only thing that can stop bad causal inference is good causal inference


McElreath,  Richard       
Department of Human Behavior Ecology and Culture, Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology, Max Planck Society;

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Rohrer, J. M., Schmukle, S. C., & McElreath, R. (2022). The only thing that can stop bad causal inference is good causal inference. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 45: e91. doi:10.1017/S0140525X21000789.

Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000A-8357-0
In psychology, causal inference – both the transport from lab estimates to the real world and estimation on the basis of observational data – is often pursued in a casual manner. Underlying assumptions remain unarticulated; potential pitfalls are compiled in post-hoc lists of flaws. The field should move on to coherent frameworks of causal inference and generalizability that have been developed elsewhere.