Forecasting global ENSO-related climate anomalies

Barnett, T.P.; Bengtsson, Lennart; Arpe, K.; Flügel, M.; Graham, N.; Mojib, L.; Ritchie, J.; Roeckner, E.; Schlese, U.; Schulzweida, U.; Tyree, M

doi:10.3402/tellusa.v46i4.15487

アイテム詳細

登録内容を編集ファイル形式で保存

一時保存へ追加

タグ情報を表示リリース履歴を表示詳細要約

公開

学術論文

Forecasting global ENSO-related climate anomalies

MPS-Authors

/persons/resource/persons37102

Bengtsson, Lennart
MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

Arpe, K.
MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

Mojib, L.
MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

Roeckner, E.
MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

Tyree, M
MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

External Resource

There are no locators available

Fulltext (restricted access)

There are currently no full texts shared for your IP range.

フルテキスト (公開)

Forecasting global ENSO related climate anomalies.pdf
(出版社版), 2MB

付随資料 (公開)

There is no public supplementary material available

引用

Barnett, T., Bengtsson, L., Arpe, K., Flügel, M., Graham, N., Mojib, L., Ritchie, J., Roeckner, E., Schlese, U., Schulzweida, U., & Tyree, M. (1994). Forecasting global ENSO-related climate anomalies. Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 46, 381-397. doi:10.3402/tellusa.v46i4.15487.

引用: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000B-1B95-F

要旨

Long-range global climate forecasts have been made by use of a model for predicting a tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) in tandem with an atmospheric general circulation model. The SST is predicted first at long lead times into the future. These ocean forecasts are then used to force the atmospheric model and so produce climate forecasts at lead times of the SST forecasts. Prediction of the wintertime 500 mb height, surface air temperature and precipitation for seven large climatic events of the 1970 to 1990s by this two-tiered technique agree well in general with observations over many regions of the globe. The levels of agreement are high enough in some regions to have practical utility. -Authors