Gollwitzer, Anton Center for Adaptive Rationality, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Max Planck Society;
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1 (Publisher version)
https://github.com/grossmania/Forecasting-Tournament (Research data)
https://github.com/grossmania/Forecasting-Tournament (Code)
The Forecasting Collaborative [Member of the MPIB: Anton Gollwitzer] (2023). Insights into the accuracy of social scientists’ forecasts of societal change. Nature Human Behaviour, 7, 484-501. doi:10.1038/s41562-022-01517-1.