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Abstract

Abstract The quaternary structure with specific stoichiometry is pivotal to the specific function of protein complexes. However, determining the structure of many protein complexes experimentally remains a major bottleneck. Structural bioinformatics approaches, such as the deep learning algorithm Alphafold2-multimer (AF2-multimer), leverage the co-evolution of amino acids and sequence-structure relationships for accurate de novo structure and contact prediction. Pseudo-likelihood maximization direct coupling analysis (plmDCA) has been used to detect co-evolving residue pairs by statistical modeling. Here, we provide evidence that combining both methods can be used for de novo prediction of the quaternary structure and stoichiometry of a protein complex. We achieve this by augmenting the existing AF2-multimer confidence metrics with an interpretable score to identify the complex with an optimal fraction of native contacts of co-evolving residue pairs at intermolecular interfaces. We use this strategy to predict the quaternary structure and non-trivial stoichiometries of Bacillus subtilis spore germination protein complexes with unknown structures. Co-evolution at intermolecular interfaces may therefore synergize with AI-based de novo quaternary structure prediction of structurally uncharacterized bacterial protein complexes.