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Attracting Private Solutions and Participation in the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa - Findings from a Survey of Investors and Financiers

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Probst,  Benedict
MPI for Innovation and Competition, Max Planck Society;

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Citation

Probst, B., Holcroft, R., Huenteler, J., Balabanyan, A., Tipping, A., & Robinson, P. (2020). Attracting Private Solutions and Participation in the Power Sector in Sub-Saharan Africa - Findings from a Survey of Investors and Financiers. World Bank Policy Research Paper, No. 9299.


Cite as: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-000F-3789-9
Abstract
This paper develops a classification of investor risks and surveys 51 private investors and financiers in the power sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. The paper aims for a better
understanding of what can be done to attract private solutions to fill the investment gap. It finds that the average investor assigns more weight to power sector policy and
regulatory framework risks than to the wider sector and country context risks. And, despite many challenges, investors perceive three segments as ready for private solutions
in Sub-Saharan Africa: power generation, off-grid electrification, and mini-grids. Investors see lower readiness in distribution, transmission, and retail. The paper finds
that the average investor is forward-looking, as neither the track record of the power sector nor the firm’s personal track record is as important as the growth potential in the market. The paper uses the findings to reality-check
data-based measures of regulatory readiness, namely the Regulatory Indicators for Sustainable Energy and Power
Sector Reform Index and analyzes which elements correlate best with investor sentiment to optimize and streamline these indexes accordingly. The results provide important
lessons for governments and development partners to devise appropriate de-risking instruments tailored to the risks that
matter most to investors.