The changing annual distribution of rainfall in the drainage area of the River 
Tisza during the second half of the 21st century

Radvanszky, S.; Jacob, D.

doi:10.1127/0372-8854/2009/0053S3-0171

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The changing annual distribution of rainfall in the drainage area of the River Tisza during the second half of the 21st century

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Jacob, D.
The Atmosphere in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;
B 2 - Land Use and Land Cover Change, Research Area B: Climate Manifestations and Impacts, The CliSAP Cluster of Excellence, External Organizations;

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引用

Radvanszky, S., & Jacob, D. (2009). The changing annual distribution of rainfall in the drainage area of the River Tisza during the second half of the 21st century. Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie, 53(Suppl. 2), 171-195. doi:10.1127/0372-8854/2009/0053S3-0171.

引用: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0011-F772-E

要旨

As a consequence of the global warming process observable world-wide, the climate of the Carpathian basin also undergoes a change. This research focuses on the analysis of the drainage area of the Tisza (157 200 km(2)), and aims at the representation of the expected change of the annual distribution of the amount of drainage in both spatial and temporal terms, with the help of the three-dimensional regional circulation model (RFMO 5.1). The horizontal grid of the results is 0,44 degrees. The applied, future-related data were modelled by the utilization of the SRES-A1B scenario. The examined period of the changing rainfall in the drainage area involves 30 years (2061-2090). Based on the compared data of the scenario and the control period (1961-1990), the signal of the concerned territory's climatic change was defined. As a consequence of the significant orographical dissection of the drainage area, the expected extent of change in the amount of rainfall is going to be different from both spatial and temporal aspects. We hope to support the appropriate work of the experts of different science fields and of various nationalities.