Global ocean warming tied to anthropogenic forcing

Reichert, Bernhard K.; Schnur, Reiner; Bengtsson, Lennart

doi:10.1029/2001GL013954

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Global ocean warming tied to anthropogenic forcing

MPS-Authors

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Schnur, Reiner
The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;
Global Vegetation Modelling, The Land in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

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Bengtsson, Lennart
Emeritus Scientific Members, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

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Reichert_et_al-2002-Geophysical_Research_Letters.pdf
(出版社版), 314KB

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引用

Reichert, B. K., Schnur, R., & Bengtsson, L. (2002). Global ocean warming tied to anthropogenic forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 29:. doi:10.1029/2001GL013954.

引用: https://hdl.handle.net/11858/00-001M-0000-0012-026C-5

要旨

[1] Observed global ocean heat content anomalies over the past five decades agree well with an anthropogenically forced simulation using the European Center/Hamburg coupled general circulation model (GCM) ECHAM4/ OPYC3 considering increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, the direct and indirect effect of sulphate aerosols, and anthropogenic changes in tropospheric ozone. An optimal detection and attribution analysis confirms that the simulated climate change signal can be detected in the observations in both the upper 300 m and 3000 m of the water column and that the observed changes in ocean heat content are consistent with those expected from the anthropogenically forced GCM integration. This suggests that anthropogenic forcing is a likely explanation for the observed global ocean warming over the past five decades.