Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a 
multi-model study

Ruprich-Robert, Yohan; Moreno-Chamarro, Eduardo; Levine, Xavier; Bellucci, Alessio; Cassou, Christophe; Castruccio, Frederic; Davini, Paolo; Eade, Rosie; Gastineau, Guillaume; Hermanson, Leon; Hodson, Dan; Lohmann, Katja; Lopez-Parages, Jorge; Monerie, Paul-Arthur; Nicoli, Dario; Qasmi, Said; Roberts, Christopher D.; Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Dunstone, Nick; Martin-Rey, Marta; Msadek, Rym; Robson, Jon; Smith, Doug; Tourigny, Etienne

doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

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Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study

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Lohmann, Katja
Director’s Research Group OES, The Ocean in the Earth System, MPI for Meteorology, Max Planck Society;

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引用

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D., Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A., Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J., Smith, D., & Tourigny, E. (2021). Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4:. doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5.

引用: https://hdl.handle.net/21.11116/0000-0008-B863-9

要旨

Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) has been linked to the observed slowdown of global warming over 1998-2012 through its impact on the tropical Pacific. Given the global importance of tropical Pacific variability, better understanding this Atlantic-Pacific teleconnection is key for improving climate predictions, but the robustness and strength of this link are uncertain. Analyzing a multi-model set of sensitivity experiments, we find that models differ by a factor of 10 in simulating the amplitude of the Equatorial Pacific cooling response to observed AMV warming. The inter-model spread is mainly driven by different amounts of moist static energy injection from the tropical Atlantic surface into the upper troposphere. We reduce this inter-model uncertainty by analytically correcting models for their mean precipitation biases and we quantify that, following an observed 0.26 degrees C AMV warming, the equatorial Pacific cools by 0.11 degrees C with an inter-model standard deviation of 0.03 degrees C.